Track record

What is built

• The forecast ledger stores forecasts as immutable records: each entry keeps its question, horizon and data cut-off, and corrections are saved as new versions, never overwrites.
• Outcomes can be appended and benchmarks recorded, and bounded evaluation can score stored forecasts against their recorded outcomes.

These records are entered by you. They are your own hypotheses and outcomes — not verified model outputs, and not evidence of any model's accuracy.

What is not claimed

IndexGlobal.ai has not issued forecasts of its own, and verified ATORA finance forecast ingestion and authoritative outcome feeds are not yet integrated. So no verified ATORA performance, hit rate or calibration can be shown here, and none is claimed.

How verified model performance would be shown

If a verified source of model forecasts is connected, its records would be stored before outcomes are known, resolved against stated outcomes and sources, and reported separately from user-entered records — with the number of forecasts behind every score. Until then, this page makes no accuracy claim. See Methodology.